Subject: Environmental Protection; Motor Vehicles; Revenue Dept.; Taxation and Revenue - Income

Bill Summary: Would authorize an income tax deduction for the purchase of hybrid motor vehicles made in the United States.

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND
FUND AFFECTED	FY 2009	FY 2010	FY 2011
General Revenue	(Less than $100,000)	(Less than $100,000)	(More than $100,000)

Total Estimated Net Effect on General Revenue Fund	(Less than $100,000)	(Less than $100,000)	(More than $100,000)

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON OTHER STATE FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED	FY 2009	FY 2010	FY 2011


Total Estimated Net Effect on Other State Funds	$0	$0	$0

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FEDERAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED	FY 2009	FY 2010	FY 2011


Total Estimated Net Effect on All Federal Funds	$0	$0	$0

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FULL TIME EQUIVALENT (FTE)
FUND AFFECTED	FY 2009	FY 2010	FY 2011


Total Estimated Net Effect on FTE	0	0	0

☐ Estimated Total Net Effect on All funds expected to exceed $100,000 savings or (cost).

☒ Estimated Net Effect on General Revenue Fund expected to exceed $100,000 (cost).

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED	FY 2009	FY 2010	FY 2011
Local Government	$0	$0	$0

Officials from the Office of the Secretary of State (SOS) provided the following response to a previous version of this proposal:

Many bills considered by the General Assembly include provisions allowing or requiring agencies to submit rules and regulations to implement the act. The SOS is provided with core funding to handle a certain amount of normal activity resulting from each year's legislative session. The fiscal impact for this fiscal note to the SOS for Administrative Rules is less than $2,500. The SOS recognizes that this is a small amount and does not expect that additional funding would be required to meet these costs. However, we also recognize that many such bills may be passed by the General Assembly in a given year and that collectively the costs may be in excess of what our office can sustain with our core budget. Therefore, we reserve the right to request funding for the cost of supporting administrative rules requirements should the need arise based on a review of the finally approved bills signed by the governor.

Officials from the Department of Revenue (DOR) assume this proposal would allow any taxpayer who purchases a qualified hybrid vehicle a limited deduction from Missouri Adjusted Gross Income for the purchase price of the qualified vehicle, for the tax year in which the purchase was made. DOR would be required to make form and instruction changes for individual income tax and corporate income tax, as well as systems changes (MINITS and COINS).

DOR provided an estimated cost to implement this proposal including two additional FTE Tax Processing Technician I and two temporary tax employees with related equipment and expenses totaling $93,891 for FY 2009, $102,533 for FY 2010, and $105,609 for FY 2011.

Oversight has estimated that qualifying vehicle sales for this proposal would be 606 for FY 2009, 818 for FY 2010, and 1,104 vehicles for FY 2011. Oversight assumes that DOR could process those deductions with existing resources. If unanticipated costs are incurred or if multiple requests are implemented which increase the DOR workload, resources could be requested through the budget process.

The Office of Administration Information Technology Services Division (ITSD/DOR) assumes

the IT portion of this request could be accomplished with existing resources, however; if priorities shift, additional FTE/overtime would be needed to implement. ITSD/DOR estimates that this legislation could be implemented at a cost of $33,488 utilizing 2 existing CIT III for 1 month for modifications to MINITS and 3 existing CIT III for 2 months for modifications to COINS, CAFÉ, Corporate E-file, and data warehouse.

Officials from the Office of Administration, Division of Budget and Planning (BAP) assume

this proposal would not result in additional costs or savings to their organization. The current language would limit the income tax deduction to hybrid cars built in America. BAP does not have data on the number of hybrids manufactured in the USA and assumes that restriction would reduce the cost of the original proposal by an unknown amount.

In response to a previous version of the proposal, BAP provided this estimate of cost.

The legislation provides a deduction from Missouri adjusted gross income, up to $2,000, for the purchase of a qualifying hybrid vehicle. According to a 2/26/07 publication by R.L. Polk , there were 254,545 hybrid vehicle registrations in 2006. Missouri was not among the top ten states cited in the article, which accounted for 155,979 of these registrations. BAP assumes Missouri accounted for 1/40 of the remaining registrations, or a total of 2,464. A separate article from R.L. Polk projected an increase of 56.9 percent in 2007 for Midwestern states. Using this rate, BAP estimates 3,866 hybrid registrations in Missouri in 2007.

Therefore, this proposal could reduce Missouri Taxable Income by $7.732 million. Assuming a 4.5% effective tax rate, this proposal would reduce general and total state revenues by $347,900 annually beginning in FY09.

Oversight found a J.D. Power forecast (based on six month total sales) of 345,000 hybrid car sales for 2007, a 35% increase over 2006 sales. Oversight has also researched hybrid vehicle sales information and determined that as of 2006, more than 87% of hybrid cars sold in the USA were manufactured outside the USA. Oversight assumes that Missouri sales will continue to represent the same percentage of total sales as in 2006 and that sales will continue to increase at the same rate. Therefore, qualified Missouri sales would be:

If hybrid car sales continue to increase at 35% per year, the estimated tax reduction would be:

2007 Tax deduction X 135% ($40,320 X 1.35) = 2008 Tax deduction $54,432 (FY2009)

2008 Tax deduction X 135% ($314,381 X 1.35) = 2009 Tax deduction $73,483 (FY 2010)

2010 Tax deduction X 135% ($424,415 X 1.35) = 2010 Tax deduction $99,202 (FY 2011)

Oversight assumes that all Missouri taxpayers would be able to take this tax credit, and that all Missouri hybrid vehicle purchases would be made by taxable entities. Oversight also assumes that hybrid vehicle purchasers could switch to qualifying vehicles made in the United States or that foreign manufacturers could move production of qualifying vehicles to the United States. Those market changes would increase the fiscal impact of this proposal. Oversight notes that hybrid vehicle price increases would likely cause tax deductions for FY 2011 to exceed $100,000. Therefore, Oversight will indicate a reduction in revenues for this proposal less than $100,000 for FY 2009 and FY 2010, and more than $100,000 for FY 2011.

Small businesses which purchase hybrid vehicles would have a direct fiscal impact as a result of this proposal.

This proposal would authorize an income tax deduction for the purchase of hybrid motor vehicles manufactured in the United States.

This legislation is not federally mandated, would not duplicate any other program and would not require additional capital improvements or rental space.

FISCAL IMPACT - State Government	FY 2009 (10 Mo.)	FY 2010	FY 2011
GENERAL REVENUE FUND

Revenue reduction - Hybrid vehicle tax deduction	(Less than $100,000)	(Less than $100,000)	(More than $100,000)

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND	(Less than $100,000)	(Less than $100,000)	(More than $100,000)

FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government	FY 2009 (10 Mo.)	FY 2010	FY 2011

	$0	$0	$0